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Post Published: 05 August 2014 Author: Bill Holter Found in section: Bill Holter , Buy Gold and Silver , Inflation and Deflation Tags: debt , dollar , gold , inflation , silver Previous Topic: A World of Statistical Lies Next Topic: The Ultimate Gold Manipulation Primer
“Money
as we know it…will simply disappear.” Could this really happen? I
think that it can and believe that it will in some fashion. This is a
huge statement and one that certainly needs some explaining. Before
getting to this, I want to relate to you a couple of questions I
received this past week and pass along a quote that is very pertinent,
and in my opinion almost an exact road map to what we will soon
experience.
First, I was asked by a new client, “I don’t understand, if
the markets and banks close, how will I sell my gold and who will have
money to buy it?” This is a good question with no set in stone answer
because once panic sets in there will be so many parts literally moving
at the speed of light. Let’s look at a couple of historic events to get
a little bit of perspective. After Archduke Ferdinand was shot in
1914, World War I commenced and our (U.S.) stock market was closed for
nearly 6 months. Money in the U.S. back then was either gold coin or
“dollars” which were receipts for gold coin, “money” still circulated
even though the stock market was closed. Stocks circulated privately
between individuals as certificates were signed over from one party to
another in exchange for a real item or a service.
Another historic event was back in May of 1931 when the
Austrian bank Credit Anstalt failed. This was a black swan event in a
series that led to many banks around the world folding and what drove
the U.S. and world economy deeper into depression. A description of the
affair after the fact by Lord Revelstoke (Barings Bank) was, “It was
amazing, how, in a fortnight, the credit system we had spent decades
building……collapsed.” Our banking system saw many failures and was
closed for a time but again, money remained and still changed hands.
But remember, “money” was different back then, it was “real” whereas
today it more resembles Monopoly money.
Back to the original question, “How will I sell my gold and
to whom?” Gold (and silver) “ARE” money themselves. They are a store
of value, they have “worth” on their own as opposed to dollars, euros,
yen or any other paper currencies. The paper currencies have “value”
because a government “says” it has value and enforces what they say with
legal tender laws. Gold and silver need not be “sold” for currency,
they may instead be exchanged for goods or services during a time of
stress. Actually, the part of the question that asks “who will have the
money to buy it?” can be answered in one word, “you.” YOU will have
the “money” that may be retained or “spent” at your discretion, worrying
about who will accept it during a crisis and after is not necessary.
Americans have become so brainwashed over the years
regarding “money” and you can’t blame them. It has been a full 50 years
since our coins had any silver in them (49 years for the 40% silver
clad). Americans think of dollars as money when the reality is that
dollars are a currency. Americans constantly think about “making” more
dollars yet forget that if the inflation rate is 10% then this is the
amount needed each year just to stay even. The thought process of
buying low and selling high with silver and gold is simply wrong because
what would you be selling for? More dollars?
As you know, it is my opinion that we have upcoming a
financial panic (and probably a global war) that will close many markets
and banking systems. I also believe that some sort of new currency(s)
will be introduced. If I am correct and we wake up one Monday morning
to a closed financial system, then how smart will it have been if you
bought gold at $300 and sold it for $1,900 and were still waiting to
“catch the bottom” to load up again? My answer to the question is this,
if you are “buying” gold in the hopes of making a “profit” in dollars,
forget about it. This thought process is so wrong minded because your
“goal” is incorrect. Thinking in this manner means that you want to
“use” gold as a tool to accumulate more dollars. The odds of the dollar
remaining the world’s reserve currency is virtually zero and the odds
that the dollar even remains a currency may be less than 50%. What is
absolutely clear is that the purchasing power or “value” of the dollar
will be far lower in the future.
Taking this thought process one step further, your gold in
the future WILL be “worth more dollars” but there is a caveat and I’m
not really sure how to put it into words but I’ll try. “Your gold will
be worth more dollars but you won’t want to have the dollars.” In my
opinion, there are 3 main avenues that the dollar can go. First, we can
go through a series of market caused devaluations. Second, we can go
the route of official devaluations or finally we might see the dollar
actually go away so to speak. The dollar could be replaced by some
other currency with a “BUT” attached …but, any new currency brought
forth must have the “confidence” of the public. The time honored way to
do this by the way is to back the new currency with gold.
I guess the best way to wrap up the above is to say that yes, more
dollars are better than less dollars but there will be a point in time
when NO dollars will be best. No one knows when this point in time will
be but trying to guess or outsmart the markets (or those pulling the
strings) is foolish. I say this because all it will take is being wrong
for just the one day when markets and banks are closed with you holding
a bag full of dollars instead of gold. You will have no recourse or
any way to correct the mistake and it will follow you (and your heirs)
for the rest of your lives.
Getting to the title itself, “money as we know it will
simply disappear” can be looked at from several standpoints. First,
money(s) can simply collapse in value and be replaced, I think this is
certainly a possibility for several if not many today. The deeply
seated meaning of the title however is since “money” today is debt
based, should we see the event where debt begins to cascade into
default…it will take currencies and their values with it. We live in a
world today where debt is considered “wealth.” It’s crazy I know but
this is the current thought process. The debt edifice if you will, or
the debt ratios all over the world are higher than they have ever been
before. The risk of one debtor defaulting and “spreading” (forcing)
other debtors to default has never been higher. Since currencies
themselves are based on debt, should (when) this happen “money” will
just disappear. “Money” in banks, insurance companies, pensions, you
name it will simply go up in a puff of smoke.
To finish, gold is “different.” Gold cannot
“evaporate” or go up in a puff of smoke (unless held by a custodian that
goes bankrupt with YOUR gold on their books), gold will remain and it
will retain or even increase in value. All currencies have counter
party risks, gold does not. Gold is your only way to “get out of the
game” before the game ends and to arrive for the beginning of the next
one. Holding gold will allow you to transfer your current wealth from
here to there, holding dollars will not. Think of this from a “relative
basis,” roughly only 1 American out of 100 owns or holds any gold or
silver other than jewelry. Said another way, 99 out of 100 have counter
party risk and their wealth is based on and depends on the solvency of
someone else, only 1 of 100 do not have this risk. Money will
“disappear” for several reasons and from many different sources, not
allowing YOUR money or wealth to be a part of the disappearing act is
the name of the game!
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