Retail Apocalypse: 2016 Brings Empty Shelves And Store Closings Across America
By Michael Snyder - End Of The American Dream Blog February 01, 2016 Share this article:
Major retailers in the United States are shutting down hundreds of
stores, and shoppers are reporting alarmingly bare shelves in many
retail locations that are still open all over the country. It appears
that the retail apocalypse that made so many headlines in 2015 has gone
to an entirely new level as we enter 2016.
As economic activity slows down and Internet retailers
capture more of the market, brick and mortar retailers are cutting their
losses. This is especially true in areas that are on the lower portion
of the income scale. In impoverished urban centers all over the
nation, it is not uncommon to find entire malls that have now been
completely abandoned.
It has been estimated
that there is about a billion square feet of retail space sitting empty
in this country, and this crisis is only going to get worse as the
retail apocalypse accelerates.
We always get a
wave of store closings after the holiday shopping season, but this year
has been particularly active. The following are just a few of the big
retailers that have already made major announcements&
-Wal-Mart is closing 269 stores, including 154 inside the United States.
-K-Mart is closing down more than two dozen stores over the next several months.
-J.C. Penney will be permanently shutting down 47 more stores after closing a total of 40 stores in 2015.
-Macy s has decided that it needs to shutter 36 stores and lay off approximately 2,500 employees.
-The Gap is in the process of closing 175 stores in North America.
-Aeropostale is in the process of closing 84 stores all across America.
-Finish Line has announced that 150 stores will be shutting down over the next few years.
-Sears
has shut down about 600 stores over the past year or so, but sales at
the stores that remain open continue to fall precipitously.
But these store closings are only part of the story.
All
over the country, shoppers are noticing bare shelves and alarmingly low
inventory levels. This is happening even at the largest and most
prominent retailers.
I want to share with you
an excerpt from a recent article by Jeremiah Johnson. The anecdotes
that he shares definitely set off alarm bells with me. Read them for
yourself and see what you think&
*****
I
came across two excellent comments upon Steve Quayle s website that
bear reading, as these are two people with experience in retail
marketing, inventory, ordering, and purchases. Take a look at these:
#1 (From DJ, January 24, 2016)
Steve-
[Regarding
the] alerts about the current state of the RR industry. This is in line
with what I ve been noticing as I visited our local/regional grocery
store, Walmart, and Target this week in WI. I worked in big box retail
for 20 years specializing in Inventory Management. These stores are all
using computerized inventory management systems that monitor and
automatically replenish inventory when levels/shelf stock get low. This
prevents out of stocks and lost sales. These companies rely on the
ability to replenish inventory quickly from regional warehouses.
As I shopped this week and looked at inventory levels I
was shocked. There were numerous (above and beyond acceptable levels)
out of stocks across category lines at all three retailers. And even
where inventory was on the shelf, the overall levels were noticeably
reduced. Based on my experience, working for two of these three
organizations in store management, they have drastically/intentionally
reduced their inventory levels. This is either due to financial
stresses/poor sales effecting their ability to acquire new inventory, or
it could be the result of what was mentioned earlier regarding the
transporting of goods to these regional warehouses. Either way this
doesn t bode well for the what s to come. Stock up now while you can!
#2 (From a Commenter following up #1 who didn t provide a name, January 26, 2016)
I d
like to tailgate on the SQ Alert based on my experience&
regarding stock levels in big box stores. This weekend we were in two
such stores, each in fairly isolated communities which are easily the
communities best source for acquiring grocery items in quantity.
I
myself worked in retail (meat) for thirty years so I know exactly what a
well-stocked store looks like, understand the key categories and
category drivers, and how shelves are stocked and displays are built to
drive sales and profits. I also understand supply chain and distribution
methodologies quite well.
Each of the stores
we were in were woefully under-stocked. This time of year-the few weeks
following the holidays-is usually big business in groceries and low
stock levels suggest either poor ordering at the store level, poor
purchasing at the distribution level or a purposeful desire to be
under-stocked.
Anyone familiar with the retail
grocery industry is also familiar with how highly touted the big box
store s infrastructure is. They know exactly when demand is high and
for what items and in what quantities. It is very unlikely that both
stores somehow got surprised by unusually high demand. It is
reasonable then to imagine that low stock levels in rural areas with few
options is a purposed endeavor to assure that both the budget conscious
and the folks in more remote areas are not fully able to load up their
pantries.
Simply put I believe the major
retailer in question is doing their part to limit the ability of rural
America to be sufficiently prepared. Nevertheless, we are wise to do our
best to keep ahead of the curve. God bless your efforts, Steve.
*****
Yes,
this is just anecdotal evidence, but it lines up perfectly with hard
numbers that I have been discussing on The Economic Collapse Blog.
Exports
are plummeting all over the globe, and the Baltic Dry Index just
plunged to another new all-time record low. The amount of stuff being
shipped around by air, truck and rail inside this country has been
dropping significantly, and this tells us that real economic activity is
really slowing down.
If you currently work in the retail industry, your job is not secure, and you may want to start evaluating your options.
We
have entered the initial phases of a major economic downturn, and it is
going to be especially cruel to those on the low end of the income
spectrum. Do what you can to get prepared now, because the economy is
not going to be getting better any time soon.
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