Vietnam: China a Partner of Cooperation and Object of Struggle
Written by Carlyle A. Thayer.
According to Vietnam’s foreign policy
lexicon, China tops the list of Vietnam’s sixteen strategic
partnerships. China is designated a comprehensive cooperative strategic
partner, the only country to hold that accolade. This designation is
both significant and partly misleading. It is significant because it
signals that Vietnam wants to comprehensively engage with its northern
neighbour. It is party misleading because beneath the veneer of
socialist bonhomie lie constant tensions over maritime disputes in the
South China Sea.
In July 2003, the Vietnam Communist Party’s Central Committee adopted
Resolution No. 8, On Defense of the Homeland in the New Situation.
Prior to the adoption of Resolution No. 8, China was classified as a
friendly country because it was socialist and the United States was
viewed as an opponent. Resolution No. 8 noted that there were often
instances of friction and disagreement with friendly countries and areas
of cooperation and convergent interests with opposing countries.
Resolution No. 8 adopted the twin concepts of “partners of cooperation”
and “objects of struggle,” đối tác and đối tượng, respectively.
The resolution sanctioned cooperation with both friendly and opposing
countries and struggling against any country that harmed Vietnam’s
national interests.
In early May-mid-July 2014, Sino-Vietnamese relations reached their lowest point since the 1979 border war when China dispatched
the mega oil-drilling platform Hai Yang Shi You 981 into Vietnam’s
Exclusive Economic Zone to commence operations. China action’s
precipitated a confrontation between a mixed armada of Chinese ships,
boats and vessels and Vietnam’s Coast Guard and Fishery Surveillance
Force. The world’s media covered the daily ship ramming and use of
high-powered water cannons. The first casualty of this crisis was
strategic trust between Hanoi and Beijing.
In July 2014, China declared that the
HYSY 981 had completed its operations and abruptly withdrew the mega
platform and its maritime escorts. Vietnam and China then went about
rebuilding their bilateral relations. Restoring strategic trust was more
difficult. By early 2017 it appeared that China and Vietnam had
restored the status quo ante prevailing in 2013. In January, for
example, Nguyen Phu Trong, made his first visit to Beijing as the new
Secretary General of the Vietnam Communist Party to meet with General
Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party Xi Jinping. The two defence
ministers also met.
After “candid talks” the two party leaders issued
a joint statement in which they agreed to “manage well their maritime
difference, avoid actions that complicate the situation and escalate
tensions, and safeguard the peace and stability of the South China Sea.”
In mid-May Vietnam’s president, Tran Dai Quang made a state visit to
Beijing to meet with his counterpart Xi Jinping. The joint statement issued
after their meeting highlighted a wide range of cooperative activities:
Chinese preferential loans for infrastructure development, the gradual
opening of China’s market to Vietnamese agricultural and dairy exports,
and the establishment of cross-border economic zones. The two state
leaders also agreed, “to strictly follow the consensus reached by
Chinese and Vietnamese leaders” to resolve their maritime disputes
peacefully.
In late May, Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc became the first Southeast Asian head of government to meet with
President Donald Trump at The White House. Their joint
statement contained a long section on the South China Sea that repeated
the standard diplomatic line that disputes should be settled peacefully
in accord with international law. Shortly after, Vietnam’s Defence
Minister visited the Pentagon for discussions with Secretary of Defense
James Mattis. They noted that preparations would be made for a visit by a U.S. aircraft carried to Cam Ranh International Port in 2018.
In 2013, Vietnam and China agreed to an
annual alternating series of friendly border defence exchange
activities. The first exchange took place in 2014 after the HYSY 981
crisis receded. In subsequent years the two defence ministers
participated. In late May 2016, General Fan Changlong, the Deputy Head
of China’s Central Military Commission, came to Vietnam to set the final
seal on this year’s border exchanges. Both the Chinese and Vietnamese
media were very upbeat about future defence relations. General Fan not
only met with his counterpart, General Ngo Xuan Lich, but with all of
Vietnam’s top leadership. In these meetings, General Fan requested that
Vietnam honour the commitments between their leaders and stop oil
exploration activities in Vanguard Bank. When General Fan was rebuffed
by Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc who claimed Vietnam had sovereign
jurisdiction over this area. This verbal confrontation angered General
Fan who announced the cancellation of the friendly border exchange activities and abruptly left Hanoi.
Subsequently, Vietnam’s Ambassador in
Beijing was called to the Foreign Ministry where a Chinese official
issued a strongly worded demarche. What transpired at this meeting has
become a matter of controversy. The BBC,
quoting industry sources, reported that China threatened to attack
Vietnamese “bases” in the Spratly Islands if Vietnam continued to drill
for oil. The block in question, 136-03, was leased to Talisman-Vietnam a
subsidiary of Repsol of Spain. General Fan visited Madrid before coming
to Hanoi and reportedly called on Repsol to cease its oil drilling. At
the time General Fan was in Hanoi, China increased its naval presence
around Vanguard Bank. Vietnam backed down and muzzled its press. The
oil-drilling rig capped the well and departed for safer waters.
The next confrontation between Hanoi and
Beijing took place in Manila where the foreign minister of the
Association of Southeast Asian Nations met for their annual meeting.
Vietnam tried hard to stiffen the language on the South China Sea in the
joint communiqué issued after the foreign ministers met but was blocked
by the Philippines and Cambodia. A scheduled one-on-one meeting between
the foreign ministers of China and Vietnam was cancelled.
The events of the first nine months of
this year illustrate that Vietnam continues to pursue its long-standing
policy of “diversifying and multi-lateralizing” its strategic
partnerships with an emphasis of stepping up defence cooperation with
Japan, India, France, the United Kingdom, the United States and its traditional supplier of arms, Russia. Vietnam also cooperates with China in terms of trade and investment while at the same time struggles
against China on maritime disputes in the South China Sea. Vietnam
seeks to hedge against China by promoting a multipolar balance among the
major powers by giving them equity in Vietnam’s stability and strategic
autonomy. In order for this strategy to work, in Vietnam’s view, the
United States must be encouraged to remain engaged in the region to
counter-balance China.
Carlyle A. Thayer is Emeritus Professor at The University of New
South Wales at the Australian Defence Force Academy, Canberra. Image
credit: CC by Patrik M. Loeff/Flickr.
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