Recession Imminent As Wholesale Inventories Surge, Sales Disappoint; Autos Worst Since 2009
Enormous red flag for an imminent recession in America
The ratio of wholesale inventories-to-sales pushed back up to 1.3 – its highest since the recession and is flashing an enormous red flag for an imminent recession in America…
with the automotive industry the biggest factor in this.
A bigger-than-expeted 0.9% surge in inventories (biggest since April 2014) was accompanied by a considerably slower than expected 0.1% growth in sales (weakest since March) suggest that ‘field of dreams’ corporate planning remains in place.
Most crucially, as The Atlanta Fed warns, “lower inventory investment will subtract 1.7ppt from Q3 real GDP growth.” The higher Q2 ‘build’ the worst Q3 will be – though we are sure economists will extrapolate Q2 growth no matter what…