HOW MANY IPCC SCIENTISTS FABRICATE AND FALSIFY RESEARCH?

HOW MANY IPCC SCIENTISTS FABRICATE AND FALSIFY RESEARCH?

Norm Kalmanovitch [kalhnd@shaw.ca]

Dear Benny,

The measured global temperature record which started around 1856 shows that
the Earth was in a warming cycle until around 1880. The CO2 record shows
that CO2 was increasing by about 0.21ppmv/year over this period.
During the cooling cycle which followed from 1880 to 1910, the CO2
concentration increased at a rate of about 0.30ppmv/year.

The next warming cycle from 1910 to 1942 saw a dramatic increase in global
temperature, but the rate of increase in CO2 concentration only grew to
0.33ppmv over this time period.

The well documented global cooling period from 1942 to 1975 that had the
world concerned about an impending return to the equivalent of the Little
Ice Age, had a contemporaneous rise in atmospheric CO2 that equated to
0.63ppmv/year; almost twice the increase in CO2 of the precious warming
cycle.

During the warming that took place from 1975 to 1998, the rate of CO2
increase took another dramatic jump to 1.54ppmv/year, but this was followed
by an increase to 1.91ppmv/year that we are currently experiencing during
the present ongoing cooling cycle.

Each successive cooling cycle has had an increase in the rate of CO2 growth
over the previous warming cycle, indicating that there is no possible
correlation of CO2 with global warming.

In 1988 Hansen et al published a paper "Global Climate Changes as Forecast
by Goddard Institute for Space Studies Three-Dimensional Model" in the
Journal of Geophysical Research that introduced a "CO2 forcing parameter".
This parameter had no actual physical basis, but was merely based on the
assumption that a 100ppmv increase in CO2 was directly and primarily
responsible for the measured increase in global temperature of 0.6°C that
had been observed over the past century.

This assumption ignored the fact that over this time period there was both
cooling and warming concurrent with rising CO2 concentration, and
considering that this paper was published just 13 years after a 33 year
cooling trend that also had a concurrent increase in CO2 concentration there
is no possible valid rational for this assumption. Essentially in the 46year
period from 1942 to when the paper was published in 1988, there were 33years
of cooling and only 13years of warming concurrent with increases in CO2, yet
the models used a forcing parameter that directly related only warming to
CO2 concentration increases.

With no basis in fact, this parameter is entirely a fabrication, and the
projections of climate models that are based on this fabricated parameter
are also meaningless fabrications.

In addition to the fabrication, there is a bit of scientific fraud in the
creation of this CO2 forcing parameter.

The Earth had been warming since the Little Ice Age at a rate of about
0.5°C/century. The temperature value that went into determining the CO2
forcing parameter was 0.6°C, with the difference from the 0.5°C/century
value likely due to the urban heat island effect. Even if this difference
was directly due to CO2 increases, the difference between the observed
temperature and the natural warming since the Little Ice Age is only 0.1°C
but the full 0.6°C was used to fabricate the forcing parameter.

It seems that one fabrication leads to another, and when it became obvious
that the natural warming of 0.5°C/century since the Little Ice Age
demonstrated the obvious deficiency in this forcing parameter of the climate
models, the MBH98 temperature proxy also known as the "hockey stick" was
fabricated to remove the Little Ice Age and allow the full 0.6°C temperature
increase to be related to CO2 increases.

Considering that the climate models are the only support for the AGW
premise, and the AGW premise is the only support for the climate models,
exposing this simple fabrication is all that needs to be done to put an end
to this circular argument that forms the basis for the entire climate change
lunacy.

Norm Kalmanovitch
Calgary Canada

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