Monday, July 9, 2012
Chinese invasion of SE Asia - will history repeat itself?
some people are now worried that Beijing is itching for a limited war to consolidate her West Philippine Sea claims... i tend to agree... but Beijing is also looking for a war that she is guaranteed to win... and that is only possible if Uncle Sam is guaranteed not to intervene... because despite the much-ballyhoed modernization the PLAN has recently undergone, it would lose all of its blue-water capability within a day (maybe even less) in an all-out conventional war against the USN... and Beijing knows that only perfectly too well...
as to
the appetite of the US of A for war... just bear in mind that the US
Military Establishment has been on a consistent war footing since
1941... that's 74 years and still counting... by contrast, the People's
Republic of China is only 66 years old... and has never fought a
blue-water war against a major power in her entire existence...
personally,
i am also getting pissed at all this Beijing fear-mongering in the
Philippine media... i have never seen such a high level of inferiority
complex in a country with a population of more than 100 million
people... probably because they don't know much about the history of SE
Asia...
for the record... the first and last
time a military force based in China (i am stating it this way because
it was the Mongol rulers of China who actually orchestrated the
invasion) tried to invade SE Asia... it ended in total humiliation for
the invaders... will history repeat itself?
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